Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Is defense the best offense?


It has been more than a month since my last post titled "Risk On" and today I feel 
compelled to write again as an short-term top might be in place. As SP500 and NAS100 
kept reaching new highs, the former leaders (Russell 2000 and Biotech) turned on their 
heads and fell down. Now  all of these major indices are showing weakness. The stars 
are aligned and the result is a focused laser beam pointing downward.

Let's look at some charts.

QQQ: RSI, MACD, and Stoch indicators show bearish divergence from the weekly to 30min 
time frames. 




S&P500: RSI, MACD, and Stoch indicators show bearish divergence from the daily to 30min 
time frames. 



IBB: Lower high + Head & Shoulder breakdown, $233 provides some support. 




IWM: Lower high + Head & Shoulder about to breakdown. Price action and volume profile 
suggest lower. 




At times like this, I will be defensive, or even mining for some short setups.  

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